Predictive model for the evaluation of credit risk in banking entities based on machine learning

Brenda Haro, Cesar Ortiz, Jimmy Armas

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a technology model of predictive analysis based on machine learning for the evaluation of credit risk. The model allows predicting the credit risk of a person based on the information held by an institution or non-traditional sources when deciding whether to grant a loan. In this context, the financial situation of borrowers and financial institutions is compromised. The complexity of this problem can be simplified using new technologies such as Machine Learning in a Cloud Computing platform. Azure was used as a tool to validate the technological model of predictive analysis and determine the credit risk of a client. The proposed model used the Two-Class Boosted Decision Tree algorithm that gave us a greater AUC of 93% accuracy, this indicator was taken as having greater repercussion in the proof of concept developed because it is wanted to predict more urgently the number of possible applicants who do not comply with the payment of debits.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 4th Brazilian Technology Symposium (BTSym’18) - Emerging Trends and Challenges in Technology
EditorsYuzo Iano, Hermes José Loschi, Rangel Arthur, Osamu Saotome, Vânia Vieira Estrela
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages605-612
Number of pages8
ISBN (Print)9783030160524
DOIs
StatePublished - 2019
Event4th Brazilian Technology Symposium, BTSym 2018 - Campinas, Brazil
Duration: 23 Oct 201825 Oct 2018

Publication series

NameSmart Innovation, Systems and Technologies
Volume140
ISSN (Print)2190-3018
ISSN (Electronic)2190-3026

Conference

Conference4th Brazilian Technology Symposium, BTSym 2018
Country/TerritoryBrazil
CityCampinas
Period23/10/1825/10/18

Keywords

  • Cloud azure
  • Credit risk
  • Credit risk analysis
  • Machine learning azure
  • Machine learning studio

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