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Predictive Model Influenced by External Factors to Reduce Uncertainty in the Budget Forecast of a Gold Mining Company

  • Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this research we propose to apply the qualitative evaluation technique by points to the factors that influence the price of gold. In addition, we will simulate the context of 2015, a year in which the price of gold reached historical lows, and at the same time, a period in which the analyzed company was going through a period of crisis when seeing that its valuation was affected by the devaluation of its reserves and growth of debts with suppliers. The research was carried out for the forecast of the price of gold, the general budget of the company, the budget in the mine operations area and the budget of the plant operations area, but for reasons of space in the development of the paper we will only show the development with the price of gold and the area of operations in the process plant.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationHuman Interaction, Emerging Technologies and Future Systems V - Proceedings of the 5th International Virtual Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies, IHIET 2021 and the 6th IHIET
Subtitle of host publicationFuture Systems IHIET-FS 2021
EditorsTareq Ahram, Redha Taiar
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages899-906
Number of pages8
ISBN (Print)9783030855390
DOIs
StatePublished - 2022
Event5th International Virtual Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies, IHIET 2021 and 6th International Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies: Future Systems, IHIET-FS 2021 - Virtual, Online
Duration: 27 Aug 202129 Aug 2021

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
Volume319
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389

Conference

Conference5th International Virtual Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies, IHIET 2021 and 6th International Conference on Human Interaction and Emerging Technologies: Future Systems, IHIET-FS 2021
CityVirtual, Online
Period27/08/2129/08/21

Keywords

  • Budgets
  • Commodity prices
  • Control
  • Forecasts
  • Trend lines

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